Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target | Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target |

Oman vs Bahrain — GCC Scorecard

Side-by-side comparison of Oman and Bahrain on Vision 2040 KPIs, economic indicators, business environment, and institutional quality.

Oman vs Bahrain: Overview

IndicatorOmanBahrain
National VisionVision 2040Bahrain Economic Vision 2030
Stock ExchangeMSXBahrain Bourse
GDP per capita (USD)~$22,000~$~30,000
CurrencyOMRBHD
Sovereign RatingBB+/Ba1Speculative (B2/B+)

Economic Indicators

IndicatorOmanBahrainEdge
Non-Oil GDP Share~70.5%
Fiscal Balance (% GDP)+2.8%
Gross Debt (% GDP)~35%
Real GDP Growth (2023)~1.1%
Inflation~1-2%

Institutional Quality

IndicatorOmanBahrainEdge
CPI Rank (2024)50
HDI (2022)0.847
Ease of Doing Business~68
Global Innovation Index~60

Strategic Differentiation

Oman’s advantages vs Bahrain:

  • Neutral diplomatic position (unique in GCC)
  • Outside Strait of Hormuz (Salalah, Duqm port positions)
  • Green hydrogen resource base (solar + land + deep-water port)
  • Authentic nature and culture tourism differentiation
  • Improving institutional trajectory (CPI, commercial courts)

Bahrain’s advantages vs Oman:

  • Larger economy and market (scale)
  • More developed capital markets and private sector ecosystem
  • Higher GDP per capita and fiscal buffers
  • More advanced diversification in certain sectors

Investment Implications

The Oman vs Bahrain comparison reveals complementary investment opportunities:

  • Oman offers: Earlier-stage opportunities with higher upside, green hydrogen first-mover positions, logistics infrastructure plays (IMEC, Duqm), and tourism differentiation in an uncrowded premium market
  • Bahrain offers: Deeper liquidity, more established private sector, larger domestic consumer market

For investors seeking GCC exposure, both markets offer distinct risk-return profiles. Oman’s Vision 2040 trajectory suggests the risk premium vs more established GCC markets should compress over the 2025-2040 period.

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