Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target | Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target |

Energy: Sustainability Analysis

Sustainability analysis for Oman's energy sector

Overview

Environmental sustainability in Oman’s energy sector is increasingly central to Vision 2040 strategy and international investor expectations. Oman’s updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement commit to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 7 percent by 2030, with net-zero ambitions by 2050. The energy sector faces specific sustainability challenges related to energy consumption, water usage, waste management, and ecosystem impact.

Key Indicators

Sustainability MetricCurrent Status2040 Target
Carbon IntensityModerate-highNet zero pathway
Water UsageSignificant50% reduction target
Circular EconomyEmergingIntegrated by 2040

Analysis

Sustainability transformation in Oman’s energy sector requires balancing economic growth objectives with environmental stewardship. Key players including PDO, OQ Group, Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, OPAL are implementing ESG frameworks, though maturity varies widely across the sector. Water scarcity (Oman receives <100mm annual rainfall) makes water-efficient operations imperative. The sector’s investment pipeline of USD 25 billion FDI stock in upstream alone increasingly incorporates green criteria, with international lenders requiring environmental impact assessments and carbon disclosure. Circular economy principles are gaining traction but remain at pilot stage.

Challenges

High energy intensity, water scarcity, waste management infrastructure gaps, and limited ESG reporting capacity constrain sustainability progress. Oil price volatility, reserve depletion risk, high breakeven cost (~USD 75/bbl), slow progress on enhanced oil recovery, and the need to pivot toward green hydrogen at scale.

Opportunities

Green financing, carbon credit markets, renewable energy integration, water recycling technology, and sustainable certification schemes present growth avenues. Green hydrogen mega-projects (HYPORT Duqm, 25 GW), solar irradiance advantage (>2,000 kWh/m2/yr), carbon capture and storage potential in depleted reservoirs, and downstream petrochemical expansion.

Vision 2040 Targets

Reduce hydrocarbon GDP share to below 20 percent; achieve 30 percent renewable energy in the electricity mix; become a top-three global exporter of green hydrogen by 2040; increase Omanisation to 90 percent.