Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target | Non-Oil GDP Share: 70.5% ▲ +9.5pp vs 2017 | QS Ranking — SQU: #334 ▲ ↑28 places | Fiscal Balance: +2.8% GDP ▲ 3rd surplus year | CPI Rank: 50th ▲ +20 places | Global Innovation Index: 69th ▲ +10 vs 2022 | Green H₂ Pipeline: $30B+ ▲ 2 new deals 2025 | Gross Public Debt: ~35% GDP ▲ ↓ from 44% | Digitalised Procedures: 2,680 ▲ of 2,869 target |
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Oman Credit Rating Outlook - Sovereign Risk Assessment

Analysis of Oman's sovereign credit ratings from major agencies including rating drivers, fiscal outlook, and implications for investors.

Overview

Oman’s sovereign credit ratings, assigned by major international rating agencies, provide an independent assessment of the Sultanate’s creditworthiness and ability to meet its financial obligations. Credit ratings are closely watched by international investors, as they influence the cost of government borrowing, the pricing of corporate debt, and broader investor perceptions of country risk. Oman’s ratings reflect the interplay between its hydrocarbon wealth, fiscal reform progress, external debt dynamics, and institutional strength. Recent rating actions have acknowledged the government’s fiscal consolidation efforts, including revenue diversification and expenditure management. Understanding the rating outlook and key drivers is important for investors evaluating sovereign and corporate credit exposure in Oman.

Key Facts

Oman is rated by Standard and Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service, and Fitch Ratings. Ratings have fluctuated in response to oil price cycles, fiscal performance, and debt levels. The introduction of VAT, subsidy reforms, and expenditure control have been cited as positive credit factors. Government debt as a percentage of GDP has been a key metric in rating assessments. External sovereign bond spreads reflect market perceptions of Oman’s credit risk relative to benchmarks. Rating agencies publish periodic reviews that provide detailed analysis of economic and fiscal trends.

Regulatory Framework

Government debt issuance is managed by the Ministry of Finance under the Public Debt Law. Fiscal transparency has improved with the publication of medium-term fiscal frameworks and budget execution reports. The Supreme Council for Planning provides strategic oversight of economic and fiscal policy. The Financial Audit Institution provides independent audit assurance on government financial statements. International investor relations are managed through the Ministry of Finance and sovereign bond programme administrators.

Opportunities

Rating improvements would reduce the cost of government borrowing and benefit corporate borrowers. Positive rating momentum attracts additional portfolio investment and broadens the investor base. Fiscal reform progress demonstrates government commitment to sustainable economic management. Higher ratings facilitate access to international capital markets at competitive terms. Improved credit perceptions support foreign direct investment attractiveness and business confidence.

Considerations

Ratings remain sensitive to oil price developments and their impact on fiscal and external balances. Government debt refinancing requirements create ongoing exposure to global capital market conditions. Rating downgrades, if they occur, can increase borrowing costs and trigger capital outflows. Institutional and governance factors are increasingly weighted in rating methodologies. Investors should consider credit ratings alongside independent analysis of fiscal and economic fundamentals.