Gini Coefficient – KPI Status Overview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Baseline | 0.31 (rank 23/82, 2017) |
| Current | 0.29 |
| Target 2030 | 0.31 |
| Target 2040 | 0.28 |
| Status | On Track |
Trajectory Analysis
Oman’s Gini coefficient has improved from 0.31 to 0.29, already surpassing the 2030 maintenance target and approaching the 2040 goal of 0.28. The improvement reflects social-protection expansion, minimum-wage adjustments, and targeted transfers to lower-income households. Oman has historically maintained relatively low inequality compared to many developing economies, and the current trajectory suggests the 2040 target is achievable.
Risk Factors
Data limitations arise because the Gini is estimated from household expenditure surveys conducted infrequently, introducing measurement uncertainty. Rapid economic diversification could widen income gaps between high-skill and low-skill workers if not managed inclusively. The expatriate population is excluded from most surveys, potentially masking true inequality.
Positive Signals
The Social Protection Fund is consolidating fragmented welfare programmes into a unified, means-tested system. Omanisation policies are lifting national wages in the private sector. Microfinance and SME support programmes are broadening economic participation. Housing programmes target lower-income families.
Methodology Note
Gini coefficient derived from NCSI Household Expenditure and Income Survey data, using per-capita equivalised expenditure. Comparisons use World Bank PovcalNet methodology. Covers Omani national households only.
This tracker is updated quarterly by the Oman Vision 2040 Research Unit. Data sources include NCSI, the Central Bank of Oman, the World Bank, and relevant international organisations. Methodological notes are provided for transparency; users should consult primary sources for the most current figures.