KPI Status 🟢
| Value | |
|---|---|
| Baseline (2017-2018) | 0.821 / Rank 48 (2018) |
| Current Estimate | 0.847 (2022) |
| 2030 Target | >0.871 / Top 30 |
| 2040 Target | >0.908 / Top 20 |
| Status | On Track |
Indicator Analysis
Oman’s HDI of 0.847 (UNDP 2022) represents consistent improvement from the 0.821 baseline. The trajectory is broadly on track for the 2040 target of 0.908.
Life expectancy component: Oman’s life expectancy at birth has risen to approximately 77 years (2022) — strong relative to income level, reflecting decades of healthcare investment.
Education component: Improvements in SQU rankings and the 5 universities in QS top 500 are gradually improving the HDI’s education component.
Income component: Real GNI per capita growth depends on economic diversification — if GDP growth accelerates as Vision 2040’s diversification succeeds, this component improves.
On Track Assessment
HDI is the Vision 2040 indicator where Oman’s progress is most clearly on the required trajectory. The 2022 value of 0.847 already represents 28% of the remaining journey from 0.821 baseline to 0.908 target.
However, achieving top-20 HDI ranking (>0.908) requires competing with European and high-income Asian countries — the marginal difficulty of improving from 0.85 to 0.91 is significant.
Data Sources
This indicator is drawn from: official Oman Vision 2040 Progress Reports (IFU/Supreme Council for Planning), NCSI national statistics, and relevant international organisations (UNDP, World Bank, IMF, WIPO as applicable).
Note: This page contains Layer 2 premium analysis. Underlying indicator definitions and headline values are available in the free Layer 1 content.